Olivenza vs AD Mérida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.6%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
63.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olivenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
PUE
0 - 1
OLI
58%
22%
20%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
OLI
2 - 1
VAL
26%
27%
48%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
EXT
1 - 0
OLI
83%
12%
5%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
OLI
1 - 2
AZU
36%
25%
39%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
CAS
0 - 0
OLI
50%
24%
27%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
AD Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
MAD
3 - 0
UDF
81%
13%
6%
|
39 | 17 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
ASJ
0 - 4
MAD
16%
22%
62%
|
38 | 18 | 20 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
MAD
1 - 0
JER
50%
25%
25%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
SNV
0 - 2
MAD
22%
23%
55%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
MAD
2 - 0
CDZ
76%
15%
9%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |