Oliveira Hospital vs Os Belenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.3%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
12.1%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
12%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
57.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
17.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.5%
0-2
13%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
4º
11º
7º
35
1º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 26 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oliveira Hospital
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
CAL
0 - 0
OLI
39%
25%
36%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
OLI
0 - 0
REA
38%
27%
35%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2022 |
OLI
1 - 0
TON
7%
16%
77%
|
37 | 63 | 26 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
SCP
1 - 2
OLI
65%
20%
15%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
OLI
2 - 1
ORI
52%
23%
26%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
REA
0 - 1
BEL
19%
27%
55%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
BEL
2 - 0
ACA
53%
25%
22%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2022 |
BEL
0 - 0
CDB
43%
26%
31%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
BEL
0 - 1
MON
71%
19%
10%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
PER
0 - 3
BEL
13%
25%
62%
|
56 | 34 | 22 | 0 |