Olimpo vs Kimberley Mar del Plata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.4%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.5%
3-0
14.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
18.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.2%
1-0
16.4%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.9%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
14.2%
4.3%
Win probability
0.35
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.1%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+78%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
1º
4º
1º
19
3º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
27 | 37 |
1º
|
47% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 36 |
2º
|
39.5% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 34 |
3º
|
59% | |
|
|
4º
|
19 | 23 |
4º
|
53.5% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 22 |
5º
|
26.5% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 20 |
6º
|
18.5% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 19 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 18 |
8º
|
27.5% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 17 |
9º
|
25% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 15 |
10º
|
57.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 84.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 15.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
CSS
0 - 3
OLI
18%
26%
56%
|
69 | 23 | 46 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
OLI
0 - 1
GER
76%
17%
8%
|
70 | 50 | 20 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
VIL
1 - 3
OLI
43%
27%
29%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
OLI
1 - 0
RSA
73%
18%
9%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
CDC
3 - 1
OLI
10%
23%
67%
|
69 | 44 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
Kimberley Mar del Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
KIM
1 - 1
SAN
39%
27%
34%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
KIM
1 - 1
CSS
67%
20%
13%
|
46 | 22 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
GER
2 - 1
KIM
53%
27%
20%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
KIM
1 - 0
VIL
13%
28%
59%
|
46 | 68 | 22 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
RSA
1 - 1
KIM
65%
23%
12%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | +1 |