Olimpo vs Independiente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
30.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
EST
2 - 2
OLI
62%
22%
16%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2006 |
OLI
2 - 2
VEL
32%
27%
42%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
ARS
0 - 0
OLI
54%
26%
21%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
OLI
1 - 0
COL
39%
27%
34%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2006 |
BAN
0 - 1
OLI
59%
24%
17%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
IND
0 - 0
GIM
59%
23%
18%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2006 |
IND
0 - 3
EST
53%
26%
22%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
VEL
0 - 2
IND
53%
25%
22%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
IND
0 - 2
ARS
55%
25%
20%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2006 |
COL
1 - 1
IND
49%
25%
26%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |