Sergipano Round 16

Olímpico SE vs Boca Júnior FC analysis

Olímpico SE Boca Júnior FC
35 ELO 22
-5.2% Tilt -3%
10083º General ELO ranking 11762º
416º Country ELO ranking 457º
ELO win probability
63.7%
Olímpico SE
18.8%
Draw
17.5%
Boca Júnior FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.7%
Win probability
Olímpico SE
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
17.5%
Win probability
Boca Júnior FC
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Olímpico SE
+3%
-28%
Boca Júnior FC

ELO progression

Olímpico SE
Boca Júnior FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Olímpico SE
Olímpico SE
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Mar. 2006
PIR
Olímpico Pirambú
3 - 2
Olímpico SE
OSE
72%
17%
11%
35 48 13 0
23 Mar. 2006
LAG
Lagartense
4 - 0
Olímpico SE
OSE
52%
22%
26%
37 36 1 -2
19 Mar. 2006
OSE
Olímpico SE
2 - 2
Itabaiana
ITA
24%
23%
54%
36 49 13 +1
12 Mar. 2006
GUA
Guarany SE
1 - 2
Olímpico SE
OSE
44%
24%
33%
35 29 6 +1
09 Mar. 2006
RFC
Riachuelo
1 - 2
Olímpico SE
OSE
33%
24%
43%
35 19 16 0

Matches

Boca Júnior FC
Boca Júnior FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Mar. 2006
BOC
Boca Júnior FC
0 - 0
Sergipe
SER
10%
16%
74%
22 55 33 0
23 Mar. 2006
GUA
Guarany SE
2 - 2
Boca Júnior FC
BOC
61%
20%
19%
22 28 6 0
19 Mar. 2006
AMA
Amadense
2 - 1
Boca Júnior FC
BOC
61%
20%
20%
22 28 6 0
12 Mar. 2006
BOC
Boca Júnior FC
0 - 2
Riachuelo
RFC
62%
20%
19%
23 19 4 -1
09 Mar. 2006
CON
Confiança
3 - 0
Boca Júnior FC
BOC
80%
14%
6%
23 58 35 0