Olimpia FC vs Castro B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
46.4%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2019 |
TCD
1 - 1
OFC
46%
22%
33%
|
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2019 |
OFC
0 - 2
TES
11%
16%
73%
|
4 | 12 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
ISD
1 - 0
OFC
44%
22%
33%
|
5 | 5 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
OFC
0 - 1
COM
22%
23%
55%
|
5 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
NMB
1 - 0
OFC
45%
21%
34%
|
6 | 6 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Castro B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2019 |
JDM
6 - 0
CAS
38%
22%
40%
|
9 | 6 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2019 |
CAS
4 - 0
TCD
73%
15%
13%
|
8 | 4 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
TES
2 - 1
CAS
73%
15%
12%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
CAS
4 - 0
ISD
62%
19%
20%
|
8 | 6 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
COM
4 - 3
CAS
59%
20%
21%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | 0 |