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Poland Third Division. Temporada Regular, Matchday 14

Olimpia Elblag vs Pogon Grod. Mazowiecki analysis

Olimpia Elblag Pogon Grod. Mazowiecki
20 ELO 2
-8% Tilt 51%
5634º General ELO ranking 10058º
58º Country ELO ranking 139º
ELO win probability
39.3%
Olimpia Elblag
24.8%
Draw
36%
Pogon Grod. Mazowiecki

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
Olimpia Elblag
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
36%
Win probability
Pogon Grod. Mazowiecki
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Olimpia Elblag
-10%
-4%
Pogon Grod. Mazowiecki

Basic stats

1
0
GF
0
1
GC
20
2
ELO
1.5
1.4
EXP
Key
GF
Goals for
GC
Goals against
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

Olimpia Elblag
Their league position
Pogon Grod. Mazowiecki
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
10º
31
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Stal Rzeszow
77
77
100%
Chojniczanka Chojnice
73
73
100%
Ruch Chorzów
63
63
100%
Wigry Suwalki
60
60
100%
Motor Lublin
59
59
100%
Radunia Stężyca
53
53
100%
Lech Poznań II
52
52
100%
Garbarnia Kraków
48
48
100%
Olimpia Elblag
46
46
50%
Pogon Siedlce
10º
46
46
10º
50%
Wisla Pulawy
11º
44
44
11º
100%
Śląsk Wrocław II
12º
43
43
12º
100%
Kalisz
13º
42
42
13º
100%
Znicz Pruszkow
14º
39
39
14º
100%
Hutnik Krakow
15º
35
35
15º
100%
Pogon Grod. Mazowiecki
16º
31
31
16º
100%
Sokół Ostróda
17º
19
19
17º
100%
GKS Bełchatów
18º
18
18
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Olimpia Elblag
Pogon Grod. Mazowiecki
Champion
0% 0%
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion playoffs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Olimpia Elblag
OLI
Pogon Grod. Mazowiecki
PGM
Chojniczanka Chojnice
CHO
Ruch Chorzów
RCH
Kalisz
KAL
Śląsk Wrocław II
SWR
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Olimpia Elblag
Olimpia Elblag
1%
X%
2%
ELO OLI ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Oct. 2021
ZNI
Znicz Pruszkow
1 - 1
Olimpia Elblag
OLI
51%
25%
23%
271 436 165 0
09 Oct. 2021
OLI
Olimpia Elblag
1 - 0
Garbarnia Kraków
GAK
46%
27%
27%
270 280 -10 +1
02 Oct. 2021
WIS
Wisla Pulawy
2 - 3
Olimpia Elblag
OLI
47%
27%
26%
268 304 36 +1
26 Sep. 2021
OLI
Olimpia Elblag
1 - 2
Lech Poznań II
LPO
47%
27%
26%
270 133 137 -1
19 Sep. 2021
RST
Radunia Stężyca
3 - 0
Olimpia Elblag
OLI
41%
28%
31%
272 152 -120 -2

Matches

Pogon Grod. Mazowiecki
Pogon Grod. Mazowiecki
1%
X%
2%
ELO PGM ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Oct. 2021
PGM
Pogon Grod. Mazowiecki
0 - 0
Lech Poznań II
LPO
41%
27%
32%
1 142 -141 0
16 Oct. 2021
GAK
Garbarnia Kraków
2 - 1
Pogon Grod. Mazowiecki
PGM
50%
25%
24%
1 279 278 -1
09 Oct. 2021
GOR
Gornik Leczna
2 - 1
Pogon Grod. Mazowiecki
PGM
55%
24%
21%
5 548 543 -15
02 Oct. 2021
GKS
GKS Bełchatów
0 - 0
Pogon Grod. Mazowiecki
PGM
52%
26%
22%
5 325 320 0
25 Sep. 2021
PGM
Pogon Grod. Mazowiecki
1 - 1
Motor Lublin
MOT
36%
28%
36%
4 379 -375 0