Olimpia Elblag vs Pogon Grod. Mazowiecki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
22.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia Elblag
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2021 |
ZNI
1 - 1
OLI
32%
26%
42%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
OLI
1 - 0
GAK
38%
28%
34%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
WIS
2 - 3
OLI
49%
25%
27%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
OLI
1 - 2
LPO
47%
26%
28%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
RST
3 - 0
OLI
53%
24%
23%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Pogon Grod. Mazowiecki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
PGM
0 - 0
LPO
30%
25%
45%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
GAK
2 - 1
PGM
62%
20%
18%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
GOR
2 - 1
PGM
71%
18%
11%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
GKS
0 - 0
PGM
40%
25%
35%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
PGM
1 - 1
MOT
22%
25%
53%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | +1 |