Paraguay Cup . Final

Olimpia vs Guaraní analysis

Olimpia Guaraní
84 ELO 74
13.3% Tilt 5.4%
429º General ELO ranking 455º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
64.6%
Olimpia
19.1%
Draw
16.3%
Guaraní

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
Olimpia
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
16.3%
Win probability
Guaraní
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Olimpia
+6%
-8%
Guaraní

ELO progression

Olimpia
Guaraní
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Olimpia
Olimpia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Dec. 2018
OLI
Olimpia
3 - 2
Sol de América
AME
70%
18%
12%
84 74 10 0
28 Nov. 2018
OLI
Olimpia
4 - 1
Guaraní
GUA
66%
19%
15%
83 75 8 +1
24 Nov. 2018
LIB
Libertad
0 - 2
Olimpia
OLI
36%
26%
38%
83 81 2 0
20 Nov. 2018
OLI
Olimpia
3 - 1
Sportivo Luqueño
LQE
70%
19%
12%
84 69 15 -1
10 Nov. 2018
IND
Independiente FBC
1 - 1
Olimpia
OLI
15%
21%
64%
84 64 20 0

Matches

Guaraní
Guaraní
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Dec. 2018
SAN
Deportivo Santaní
2 - 2
Guaraní
GUA
33%
26%
41%
74 69 5 0
28 Nov. 2018
OLI
Olimpia
4 - 1
Guaraní
GUA
66%
19%
15%
75 83 8 -1
24 Nov. 2018
GUA
Guaraní
0 - 2
General Díaz
GEN
62%
21%
16%
76 67 9 -1
21 Nov. 2018
GUA
Guaraní
1 - 1
Resistencia
RES
73%
18%
10%
77 64 13 -1
11 Nov. 2018
GUA
Guaraní
5 - 0
3 de Febrero
SAN
64%
21%
15%
75 66 9 +2
X