Oleiros vs Benfica Castelo Branco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
32.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oleiros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
OLE
1 - 2
CON
57%
22%
21%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
PEN
1 - 1
OLE
23%
25%
52%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
OLE
0 - 2
VAR
14%
23%
63%
|
35 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
OLE
1 - 0
PRA
26%
26%
48%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
VIT
1 - 2
OLE
33%
26%
41%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Benfica Castelo Branco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
BEN
1 - 1
PEN
67%
19%
14%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
BEN
1 - 2
PEN
9%
18%
73%
|
37 | 59 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
PRA
0 - 1
BEN
57%
24%
19%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
SMA
0 - 1
BEN
54%
24%
21%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
BEN
1 - 1
VIT
60%
21%
19%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |