Oleiros vs Benfica Castelo Branco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
42.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oleiros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
CAR
3 - 0
OLE
31%
25%
44%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
OLE
0 - 1
CON
56%
21%
23%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
OLI
1 - 1
OLE
44%
25%
31%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2021 |
BEN
2 - 1
OLE
57%
24%
19%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
OLE
2 - 2
MOR
57%
22%
21%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica Castelo Branco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
BEN
1 - 2
CON
63%
20%
17%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
VIT
0 - 0
BEN
22%
25%
53%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | -2 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
BEN
0 - 0
CAR
77%
15%
8%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2021 |
BEN
2 - 1
OLE
57%
24%
19%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
BEN
1 - 0
OLI
59%
23%
18%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |