Oleiros vs Mortágua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
20.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oleiros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
SER
1 - 1
OLE
35%
27%
38%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
OLE
3 - 1
VIT
58%
22%
20%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
MAR
0 - 1
OLE
45%
25%
30%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
OLE
0 - 4
UDL
23%
25%
52%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | -2 |
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
GRA
0 - 3
OLE
10%
17%
73%
|
36 | 11 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Mortágua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
MOR
1 - 1
BEN
23%
25%
52%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
CAR
2 - 2
MOR
41%
25%
35%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
OLI
2 - 1
MOR
50%
23%
27%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
CON
1 - 2
MOR
54%
22%
25%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
MOR
3 - 3
VIT
41%
25%
34%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |