Old Boys vs Moutier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
19%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
18.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
FCK
0 - 4
OLD
36%
22%
41%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
OLD
1 - 2
FCC
86%
9%
5%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
CON
1 - 2
OLD
28%
20%
52%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
OLD
2 - 4
DOR
57%
21%
22%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
OLD
3 - 0
LIE
71%
16%
13%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Moutier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
MOU
1 - 1
TAV
63%
20%
17%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
FCS
5 - 2
MOU
25%
21%
54%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | -3 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
MOU
2 - 2
LER
67%
18%
15%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
MUT
1 - 2
MOU
41%
22%
37%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
MOU
0 - 3
FCA
40%
22%
37%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -2 |