Old Boys vs FC Basel II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.4%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
70.8%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.3%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2010 |
FCZ
5 - 1
OLD
73%
17%
11%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2010 |
OLD
2 - 2
MUT
55%
22%
23%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
LAU
2 - 0
OLD
34%
24%
42%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | -2 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
OLD
0 - 0
SOL
55%
22%
23%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2010 |
MUN
2 - 0
OLD
53%
24%
23%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
FC Basel II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2010 |
BAS
4 - 1
BRE
81%
13%
7%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2010 |
GRA
3 - 2
BAS
16%
18%
66%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
BAS
7 - 1
WIN
85%
10%
5%
|
56 | 36 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
FCG
1 - 5
BAS
15%
19%
66%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2010 |
BAS
4 - 1
HON
87%
9%
4%
|
55 | 31 | 24 | 0 |