Oita Trinita vs Tochigi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
23.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oita Trinita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2012 |
ROA
2 - 1
OIT
28%
27%
45%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2012 |
OIT
2 - 0
KYO
32%
27%
41%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
OIT
2 - 2
MIT
55%
25%
20%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
OIT
1 - 2
VEN
30%
27%
43%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
FAG
0 - 0
OIT
34%
28%
39%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Tochigi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2012 |
GIF
1 - 0
TOC
25%
26%
48%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2012 |
TOC
1 - 1
TOK
46%
29%
25%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
TOC
0 - 1
YOK
42%
26%
32%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
YOK
1 - 3
TOC
48%
27%
26%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
SHO
2 - 1
TOC
57%
23%
19%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |