Ohio State vs Northwestern analysis


21	ELO	17
1.2%	Tilt	-2.7%
45849º	General ELO ranking	45848º
747º	Country ELO ranking	746º
ELO win probability

63.3%

Ohio State

18.3%

Draw

18.4%

Northwestern

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

63.3%
Win probability

                        
                    
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%

18.3%

Draw

0-0

2.4%

1-1

7.5%

2-2

5.9%

3-3

2%

4-4

0.4%

5-5

0.1%

0

18.3%

18.4%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%