A PFG Temporada Regular. Jor. 23

Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Hebar Pazardzhik analysis

Pirin Blagoevgrad Hebar Pazardzhik
62 ELO 57
12.8% Tilt -13.1%
1836º General ELO ranking 1746º
17º Country ELO ranking 16º
ELO win probability
58.5%
Pirin Blagoevgrad
22.4%
Draw
19.1%
Hebar Pazardzhik

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
Pirin Blagoevgrad
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
19.1%
Win probability
Hebar Pazardzhik
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Pirin Blagoevgrad
+3%
-2%
Hebar Pazardzhik

Points and table prediction

Pirin Blagoevgrad
Their league position
Hebar Pazardzhik
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
13º
15º
13º
23
15º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Ludogorets
74
74
100%
CSKA Sofia
70
71
100%
CSKA 1948 Sofia
59
59
100%
Levski Sofia
54
54
100%
Cherno More Varna
53
53
100%
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
50
50
100%
Slavia Sofia
49
49
100%
Arda Kardzhali
42
42
100%
Lokomotiv Sofia
38
38
100%
Botev Plovdiv
10º
32
32
10º
100%
Botev Vratsa
11º
28
29
11º
100%
Beroe
12º
27
27
12º
100%
Pirin Blagoevgrad
13º
24
24
13º
100%
Hebar Pazardzhik
14º
23
23
14º
100%
Septemvri Sofia
15º
22
22
15º
100%
Spartak Varna
16º
17
17
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Pirin Blagoevgrad
Hebar Pazardzhik
Play-offs for the title
0% 0%
Next round
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
100% 100%

ELO progression

Pirin Blagoevgrad
Hebar Pazardzhik
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Pirin Blagoevgrad
Pirin Blagoevgrad
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Mar. 2023
LUD
Ludogorets
0 - 1
Pirin Blagoevgrad
OFK
77%
16%
7%
61 78 17 0
27 Feb. 2023
OFK
Pirin Blagoevgrad
0 - 1
Cherno More Varna
CVA
26%
29%
45%
61 78 17 0
19 Feb. 2023
OFK
Pirin Blagoevgrad
1 - 1
Levski Sofia
LSO
25%
28%
48%
61 76 15 0
13 Feb. 2023
SSO
Slavia Sofia
2 - 0
Pirin Blagoevgrad
OFK
70%
20%
10%
61 75 14 0
05 Feb. 2023
OFK
Pirin Blagoevgrad
1 - 2
CSKA Sofia
CSK
24%
25%
52%
61 78 17 0

Matches

Hebar Pazardzhik
Hebar Pazardzhik
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Mar. 2023
HEB
Hebar Pazardzhik
0 - 2
Levski Sofia
LSO
18%
27%
55%
57 76 19 0
26 Feb. 2023
SSO
Slavia Sofia
0 - 1
Hebar Pazardzhik
HEB
74%
18%
8%
56 75 19 +1
20 Feb. 2023
HEB
Hebar Pazardzhik
0 - 0
Spartak Varna
SVA
36%
26%
37%
56 59 3 0
11 Feb. 2023
CSK
CSKA 1948 Sofia
2 - 0
Hebar Pazardzhik
HEB
82%
13%
5%
56 78 22 0
30 Jan. 2023
HEB
Hebar Pazardzhik
1 - 2
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
MET
34%
25%
41%
56 63 7 0
X