Oeste vs Paraná analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.9%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
43.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2017 |
BRA
3 - 1
OES
41%
29%
31%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
OES
2 - 2
VIL
35%
29%
36%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2017 |
OES
2 - 0
SAN
24%
28%
48%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | +2 |
| 24 Jun. 2017 |
CEA
3 - 0
OES
53%
26%
21%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2017 |
GUA
0 - 0
OES
45%
28%
27%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2017 |
VIL
3 - 2
PAR
35%
28%
37%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2017 |
PAR
1 - 1
AMF
36%
31%
33%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2017 |
PAR
1 - 0
CEA
40%
29%
31%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2017 |
CRI
2 - 1
PAR
44%
26%
30%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2017 |
SCI
0 - 0
PAR
70%
19%
11%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |