Oeste vs Novorizontino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
57.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
JUV
1 - 2
OES
24%
24%
52%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
PPE
2 - 1
OES
69%
19%
13%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
OES
1 - 1
XVD
34%
28%
38%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
VEL
2 - 2
OES
28%
25%
47%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
OES
0 - 2
LIN
52%
25%
23%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Novorizontino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
NOV
4 - 1
RIO
77%
16%
7%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
PRI
0 - 1
NOV
13%
20%
66%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
NOV
2 - 1
LIN
72%
18%
10%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
XVD
0 - 1
NOV
34%
24%
41%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
NOV
3 - 0
PPE
33%
26%
41%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +1 |