Paulista A2 1ª Fase. Jor. 2

Oeste vs Noroeste analysis

Oeste Noroeste
58 ELO 52
-13.2% Tilt 0.3%
2773º General ELO ranking 2536º
82º Country ELO ranking 73º
ELO win probability
56.9%
Oeste
24%
Draw
19%
Noroeste

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
Oeste
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
19%
Win probability
Noroeste
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Oeste
-12%
+16%
Noroeste

ELO progression

Oeste
Noroeste
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Oeste
Oeste
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Jan. 2023
MON
Monte Azul
1 - 5
Oeste
OES
19%
23%
58%
57 48 9 0
03 Sep. 2022
OES
Oeste
2 - 0
EC São Bernardo
BER
56%
25%
20%
57 50 7 0
27 Aug. 2022
JUV
CA Juventus
2 - 0
Oeste
OES
17%
23%
61%
58 48 10 -1
20 Aug. 2022
POR
Portuguesa
2 - 2
Oeste
OES
49%
25%
26%
58 63 5 0
18 Aug. 2022
OES
Oeste
1 - 1
Água Santa
AGU
39%
27%
34%
58 59 1 0

Matches

Noroeste
Noroeste
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Jan. 2023
NOR
Noroeste
1 - 3
XV de Piracicaba
XVD
29%
28%
43%
53 60 7 0
18 Sep. 2022
MAR
Marília
1 - 0
Noroeste
NOR
45%
27%
29%
53 55 2 0
12 Sep. 2022
NOR
Noroeste
1 - 1
Marília
MAR
37%
28%
35%
53 55 2 0
03 Sep. 2022
NOR
Noroeste
1 - 0
Comercial
COM
46%
27%
27%
53 50 3 0
27 Aug. 2022
SER
Sertãozinho
0 - 3
Noroeste
NOR
29%
27%
44%
52 46 6 +1
X