Oedt vs Ostermiething analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85%
Win probability
3.15
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.9%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.5%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
10%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10%
5%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
65
1º
7º
1º
28
9º
15º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
65 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 55 |
3º
|
29.5% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 54 |
4º
|
29.5% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 49 |
5º
|
99% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 45 |
6º
|
37% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 45 |
7º
|
38% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 41 |
8º
|
87.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 41 |
9º
|
51.5% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 39 |
10º
|
35.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
11º
|
32% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 38 |
12º
|
32% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 37 |
13º
|
31% | |
|
|
14º
|
28 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 19 |
15º
|
98.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 4 |
16º
|
98.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oedt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
UNP
1 - 3
OED
16%
20%
65%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
OED
2 - 2
STM
56%
21%
23%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
UNI
1 - 2
OED
23%
22%
56%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
OED
3 - 2
SVZ
69%
16%
15%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
SVW
2 - 0
OED
31%
22%
48%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Ostermiething
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
OST
2 - 3
UMA
35%
22%
43%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
ASV
0 - 1
OST
72%
16%
12%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
OST
1 - 1
UNI
21%
21%
58%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
STA
0 - 11
OST
19%
18%
63%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
OST
2 - 2
GRU
27%
22%
51%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | 0 |