Odder vs AGF Aarhus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
70.9%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.9%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Odder
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
BRA
2 - 1
ODD
46%
23%
31%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
ODD
1 - 0
VIB
44%
24%
33%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2010 |
LGF
2 - 4
ODD
14%
18%
68%
|
35 | 9 | 26 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2010 |
ODD
2 - 1
AFF
69%
18%
13%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2010 |
HFS
1 - 2
ODD
73%
17%
10%
|
33 | 51 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2010 |
ROS
0 - 2
AGF
19%
25%
56%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
AGF
3 - 1
BRØ
74%
17%
9%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2010 |
HOL
1 - 4
AGF
19%
23%
59%
|
71 | 46 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
VEJ
0 - 0
AGF
34%
27%
40%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
AGF
0 - 3
OBK
25%
26%
49%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | -1 |