Obolon vs Polissya Zhytomyr analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.9%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
28.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
4º
5º
4º
29
1º
7º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
22 | 15 |
1º
|
57.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
29 | 14 |
2º
|
11% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 14 |
3º
|
38% | |
|
|
2º
|
28 | 13 |
4º
|
19% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 12 |
5º
|
56.5% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 7 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
7 | 5 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 5 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
30.5% | 53.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
26% | 46.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
43.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Obolon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
NYV
1 - 2
OBO
24%
29%
48%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
OBO
2 - 1
FED
43%
28%
29%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
OBO
1 - 2
KPT
42%
28%
30%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
POL
0 - 1
OBO
49%
27%
24%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
OBO
1 - 1
NYV
57%
25%
18%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Polissya Zhytomyr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
POL
5 - 0
KRE
69%
20%
11%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
MEZ
0 - 1
POL
31%
29%
40%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2023 |
LNZ
1 - 2
POL
47%
28%
25%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
POL
0 - 1
OBO
49%
27%
24%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
KRE
0 - 2
POL
19%
27%
54%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | 0 |