Oberwart vs Forchtenstein analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.3%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.6%
8.1%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oberwart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2009 |
OBE
2 - 1
JEN
80%
13%
7%
|
26 | 11 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
ASK
0 - 0
OBE
28%
26%
46%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
OBE
0 - 2
NEU
69%
18%
13%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
HOR
1 - 0
OBE
17%
23%
59%
|
29 | 12 | 17 | -2 |
| 20 Mar. 2009 |
OBE
3 - 0
SCO
80%
13%
7%
|
29 | 14 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Forchtenstein
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
BAU
4 - 0
FOR
69%
18%
13%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
FOR
1 - 1
NEU
25%
24%
51%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
SCO
3 - 0
FOR
37%
25%
38%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
FOR
3 - 1
JEN
62%
21%
18%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
STM
0 - 1
FOR
39%
25%
37%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |