Tercera División RFEF XV - Navarra Round 33

Oberena vs FC Bidezarra analysis

Oberena FC Bidezarra
26 ELO 28
-13.1% Tilt -9.2%
9638º General ELO ranking 8136º
526º Country ELO ranking 385º
ELO win probability
41.2%
Oberena
24.7%
Draw
34.1%
FC Bidezarra

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.2%
Win probability
Oberena
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
34.1%
Win probability
FC Bidezarra
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Oberena
+10%
-45%
FC Bidezarra

Points and table prediction

Oberena
Their league position
FC Bidezarra
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
12º
11º
42
18º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Subiza
68
68
100%
CF Ardoi
63
63
100%
CD Cortes
60
60
100%
Peña Sport
55
55
100%
CD Huarte
55
55
100%
Cantolagua
52
52
100%
Beti Onak
50
50
100%
CD Pamplona
45
45
100%
Cirbonero
44
44
100%
FC Bidezarra
10º
42
42
10º
100%
Oberena
11º
41
41
11º
0%
Avance Ezcabarte
13º
41
41
12º
0%
Burladés
12º
41
41
13º
100%
Txantrea
14º
40
40
14º
100%
Beti Kozkor
15º
40
40
15º
100%
CD Lerinés
16º
34
34
16º
100%
Lagunak
17º
32
32
17º
100%
CD Alesves
18º
28
28
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Oberena
FC Bidezarra
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Oberena
FC Bidezarra
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Oberena
Oberena
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 May. 2024
LAG
Lagunak
1 - 0
Oberena
OBE
23%
23%
54%
28 21 7 0
26 Apr. 2024
OBE
Oberena
0 - 1
CF Ardoi
CDA
29%
25%
47%
28 37 9 0
20 Apr. 2024
CHA
Txantrea
3 - 2
Oberena
OBE
37%
24%
39%
30 26 4 -2
13 Apr. 2024
OBE
Oberena
1 - 2
CD Huarte
HUA
41%
24%
36%
31 32 1 -1
07 Apr. 2024
SUB
Subiza
4 - 0
Oberena
OBE
76%
14%
10%
31 41 10 0

Matches

FC Bidezarra
FC Bidezarra
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 May. 2024
BID
FC Bidezarra
0 - 0
CD Pamplona
PAM
46%
25%
29%
29 28 1 0
27 Apr. 2024
BUR
Burladés
1 - 2
FC Bidezarra
BID
35%
25%
40%
28 24 4 +1
20 Apr. 2024
BID
FC Bidezarra
1 - 1
Beti Onak
CDB
32%
25%
43%
28 33 5 0
14 Apr. 2024
CDA
CD Alesves
0 - 6
FC Bidezarra
BID
36%
25%
40%
27 22 5 +1
06 Apr. 2024
BID
FC Bidezarra
0 - 0
Avance Ezcabarte
AVA
45%
25%
30%
27 26 1 0