Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Leones Negros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
25.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
ALE
0 - 1
QRO
32%
26%
42%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
CAF
0 - 1
ALE
38%
27%
35%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2017 |
CAZ
1 - 1
ALE
63%
21%
16%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
ALE
0 - 2
ZAC
50%
25%
25%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
TOR
1 - 2
ALE
44%
27%
30%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Leones Negros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
UDG
1 - 0
LOR
64%
22%
14%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
CIM
3 - 1
UDG
29%
28%
43%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
UDG
1 - 0
JUA
47%
29%
24%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2017 |
TEP
1 - 0
UDG
47%
26%
26%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
UDG
1 - 0
UAP
55%
26%
19%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |