Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.2%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
48.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
ALE
0 - 1
CIM
52%
25%
23%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
UAP
0 - 0
ALE
31%
28%
41%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2019 |
LEO
0 - 1
ALE
68%
19%
14%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2019 |
ALE
2 - 0
JUA
41%
27%
31%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
ALE
3 - 2
CAÑ
45%
25%
30%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
TIG
0 - 1
CAZ
63%
21%
16%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2019 |
CAZ
2 - 3
LEO
50%
26%
24%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
CAZ
0 - 1
CHI
52%
27%
22%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
PUE
1 - 1
CAZ
31%
27%
42%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2018 |
CAZ
0 - 2
AME
35%
27%
38%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | -1 |