NZ Knights vs Perth Glory analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
40.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NZ Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2001 |
ADE
1 - 1
NZK
63%
20%
17%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2001 |
NZK
1 - 2
SFC
62%
21%
17%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2001 |
NEW
1 - 0
NZK
43%
25%
32%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2001 |
EPR
1 - 3
NZK
37%
26%
38%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2001 |
NZK
1 - 0
SYD
35%
26%
40%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Perth Glory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2001 |
PER
2 - 1
EPR
80%
13%
6%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2001 |
SYD
3 - 3
PER
49%
24%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2001 |
PER
5 - 1
SYD
73%
17%
10%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2001 |
SOU
1 - 1
PER
50%
24%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2001 |
PER
1 - 1
SOU
45%
23%
32%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |