Nürnberg II vs Eltersdorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.8%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
12.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
HEI
0 - 0
NUR
39%
23%
38%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
NUR
0 - 3
AUG
54%
22%
24%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -2 |
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
ILL
2 - 4
NUR
27%
24%
50%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
WAC
3 - 2
NUR
41%
25%
34%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2021 |
NUR
1 - 1
AUB
62%
20%
18%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Eltersdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
ELT
1 - 5
WAC
35%
24%
42%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
AUB
2 - 1
ELT
58%
23%
20%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
RAI
0 - 2
ELT
30%
23%
47%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2021 |
ELT
4 - 2
BUC
22%
24%
54%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | +3 |
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
VIK
1 - 4
ELT
76%
14%
10%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | +3 |