Nürnberg II vs Aubstadt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
19.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
NUR
2 - 0
WUR
21%
21%
59%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
NUR
6 - 2
DJK
70%
17%
13%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
NUR
1 - 1
HOF
48%
23%
29%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
NUR
2 - 0
DJJ
84%
12%
5%
|
48 | 22 | 26 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
RAI
2 - 1
NUR
18%
21%
61%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Aubstadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
AUB
2 - 3
ING
11%
17%
72%
|
43 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
TSV
1 - 1
AUB
18%
21%
61%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
DIE
2 - 1
AUB
37%
24%
39%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
TAM
1 - 0
AUB
58%
23%
19%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
AUB
3 - 3
ANS
49%
23%
29%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |