Nürnberg II vs 1860 München II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
27.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
UNT
0 - 3
NUR
34%
25%
42%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2003 |
NUR
3 - 0
LAN
80%
13%
7%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
ANS
1 - 3
NUR
24%
25%
51%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
NUR
2 - 2
FCP
85%
11%
4%
|
41 | 19 | 22 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2003 |
BAY
1 - 1
NUR
22%
24%
54%
|
41 | 23 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
1860 München II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2003 |
186
0 - 0
JRE
67%
18%
15%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2003 |
WEI
4 - 0
186
21%
25%
55%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | -2 |
| 29 Aug. 2003 |
186
1 - 0
GRE
69%
17%
14%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2003 |
FUR
3 - 2
186
24%
23%
52%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2003 |
186
1 - 0
BAY
70%
18%
12%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | +1 |