Cosenza vs Chievo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.4%
29.6%
Draw
0-0
12.3%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.6%
42.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
LEC
3 - 1
NUO
63%
21%
17%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2021 |
NUO
2 - 2
REG
50%
28%
22%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2021 |
CTT
1 - 1
NUO
61%
22%
17%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
NUO
1 - 1
SPA
30%
29%
41%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
ACD
1 - 2
NUO
41%
27%
32%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Chievo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
CHI
0 - 1
ASS
57%
24%
19%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
BRE
1 - 0
CHI
42%
26%
32%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2021 |
CHI
1 - 0
REG
76%
17%
7%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
SAL
1 - 1
CHI
42%
27%
31%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
CHI
3 - 1
PES
67%
21%
13%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |