Serie B Playout . Final
Global 2-1
Cosenza vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
47.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2023 |
NUO
0 - 1
CAG
21%
29%
50%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
ASC
1 - 1
NUO
60%
24%
16%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
NUO
1 - 1
VNZ
27%
30%
43%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2023 |
BRE
2 - 1
NUO
62%
23%
16%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
PRG
0 - 0
NUO
56%
25%
19%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2023 |
PAL
2 - 2
BRE
45%
26%
29%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
BRE
1 - 1
PIS
43%
27%
31%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
PAR
2 - 0
BRE
50%
26%
24%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2023 |
BRE
2 - 1
NUO
62%
23%
16%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
REG
1 - 2
BRE
42%
27%
31%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |