Numancia vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
16%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.3%
20%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20%
9.9%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2013 |
GRA
0 - 2
NUM
7%
17%
77%
|
70 | 35 | 35 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
LUG
0 - 0
NUM
34%
26%
40%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2013 |
NUM
0 - 0
RMC
44%
24%
32%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2013 |
NUM
0 - 2
ATH
29%
26%
45%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
ZAR
0 - 1
NUM
66%
20%
15%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
RJA
1 - 2
EIB
39%
30%
31%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2013 |
TOR
0 - 3
RJA
16%
26%
58%
|
59 | 15 | 44 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
ALM
0 - 1
RJA
41%
28%
32%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2013 |
RJA
1 - 3
GRA
19%
25%
57%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
VIL
0 - 2
RJA
23%
28%
49%
|
59 | 35 | 24 | 0 |