Numancia vs Racing Ferrol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
15.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2005 |
POL
0 - 1
NUM
28%
28%
44%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2005 |
NUM
0 - 1
LEV
39%
27%
34%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
LOR
1 - 1
NUM
32%
27%
41%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
NUM
1 - 2
EIB
51%
27%
23%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
VAD
3 - 1
NUM
53%
25%
22%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Racing Ferrol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2005 |
RCF
1 - 1
CAS
68%
21%
12%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2005 |
ALM
2 - 1
RCF
59%
23%
18%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
RCF
0 - 0
RMC
53%
24%
24%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
MAL
0 - 1
RCF
48%
26%
27%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
RCF
0 - 3
REC
35%
28%
37%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | -1 |