Numancia vs Málaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.4%
37.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
GET
1 - 0
NUM
54%
25%
22%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2005 |
NUM
0 - 0
ATM
28%
27%
44%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
NUM
1 - 2
RMA
11%
21%
68%
|
79 | 93 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
BET
4 - 0
NUM
68%
20%
12%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2005 |
NUM
1 - 0
ELC
57%
23%
20%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
MAL
0 - 0
MLL
49%
25%
27%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
ZAR
1 - 0
MAL
57%
24%
20%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
MAL
1 - 0
ATM
42%
26%
32%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2005 |
MAL
1 - 0
SEV
36%
27%
37%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2005 |
RAC
2 - 1
MAL
49%
25%
26%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |