Numancia vs Burgos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.2%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.3%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
8.1%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2001 |
RAC
4 - 0
NUM
61%
22%
17%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
NUM
0 - 0
EXT
63%
22%
16%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2001 |
OVI
0 - 0
NUM
56%
23%
21%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2001 |
NUM
0 - 0
GIM
75%
17%
8%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2001 |
POL
3 - 4
NUM
24%
26%
50%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
BUR
0 - 1
CDB
43%
29%
28%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2001 |
SPO
0 - 1
BUR
74%
17%
8%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2001 |
BUR
1 - 3
REC
36%
30%
34%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
SLA
0 - 1
BUR
73%
18%
9%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
BUR
0 - 1
LEV
32%
28%
41%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |