Atlético vs Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.5%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10%
3-0
13.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
17.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.7%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.8%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
6%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.7%
4.8%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2022 |
RSO
1 - 2
ATM
32%
27%
41%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
ATM
1 - 1
SEV
45%
27%
28%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2022 |
ELC
0 - 2
ATM
15%
23%
63%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
ATM
1 - 0
RMA
21%
23%
56%
|
90 | 94 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
ATH
2 - 0
ATM
29%
26%
45%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2022 |
LLE
2 - 0
NUM
20%
27%
53%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2022 |
NUM
1 - 2
LLE
68%
21%
11%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
NUM
2 - 0
CDE
68%
22%
11%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
TER
0 - 2
NUM
14%
25%
62%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
NUM
2 - 1
TAR
72%
19%
9%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | 0 |