Nueva Concepción vs Puerto San José analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
18.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
LEO
2 - 0
NUE
35%
25%
40%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2022 |
NUE
1 - 3
QUI
67%
20%
13%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
SJF
2 - 2
NUE
40%
24%
36%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
NUE
1 - 0
SPD
45%
26%
29%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
VEN
0 - 2
NUE
45%
24%
32%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Puerto San José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
PUE
1 - 0
SOL
24%
25%
52%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2022 |
PUE
2 - 1
COA
27%
25%
49%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +2 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
LEO
4 - 0
PUE
57%
24%
19%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -2 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
PUE
1 - 0
QUI
39%
27%
34%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +2 |
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
SJF
4 - 0
PUE
69%
19%
13%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -2 |