Nueva Concepción vs Puerto San José analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
24.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
NUE
1 - 1
VEN
35%
25%
40%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
COA
4 - 1
NUE
42%
25%
32%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -2 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
NUE
0 - 0
SOL
56%
22%
21%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
PUE
1 - 1
NUE
38%
26%
37%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
VEN
0 - 2
NUE
68%
18%
14%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Puerto San José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
PUE
0 - 2
SOL
46%
26%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
PUE
1 - 1
COA
45%
26%
29%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
PUE
1 - 1
VEN
28%
25%
47%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
PUE
1 - 1
NUE
38%
26%
37%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
SOL
0 - 0
PUE
43%
26%
32%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |