Nueva Concepción vs Municipal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.2%
53.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2022 |
IZT
2 - 1
NUE
74%
16%
10%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
NUE
1 - 2
COB
21%
26%
53%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2022 |
ANT
4 - 0
NUE
74%
17%
8%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
CHI
2 - 1
NUE
63%
22%
15%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
NUE
3 - 3
TOR
21%
28%
51%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2022 |
MUN
2 - 2
CHI
50%
26%
24%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
TOR
2 - 1
MUN
47%
27%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
MUN
2 - 0
COM
49%
27%
25%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
SOL
0 - 3
MUN
23%
29%
48%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
MUN
0 - 0
GUA
55%
26%
20%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |