Nueva Concepción vs Municipal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.8%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
51.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2021 |
SLC
2 - 1
NUE
65%
23%
13%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
NUE
1 - 0
GUA
29%
28%
43%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2021 |
NUE
2 - 1
COB
24%
27%
49%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
ANT
4 - 0
NUE
68%
20%
13%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2021 |
COM
2 - 0
NUE
75%
17%
8%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2021 |
MUN
2 - 3
SOL
78%
15%
7%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
CHI
0 - 0
MUN
47%
27%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
MUN
2 - 2
IZT
50%
25%
26%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2021 |
MUN
4 - 0
TOR
61%
23%
16%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
SLC
1 - 1
MUN
42%
29%
30%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |