Nueva Concepción vs Iztapa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
56.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
MUN
2 - 0
NUE
75%
17%
9%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
NUE
1 - 1
SLC
22%
27%
51%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
GUA
2 - 1
NUE
63%
22%
15%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
NUE
1 - 0
ANT
18%
26%
56%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
COB
2 - 0
NUE
67%
20%
13%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Iztapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
IZT
1 - 1
SOL
71%
18%
11%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
CHI
2 - 1
IZT
34%
26%
40%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
TOR
7 - 1
IZT
38%
26%
36%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
IZT
1 - 0
MUN
52%
25%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
SLC
3 - 3
IZT
35%
28%
38%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |