Nueva Concepción vs Dep. Ayutla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
31.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
BAR
5 - 0
NUE
53%
23%
23%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2013 |
PUE
2 - 1
NUE
54%
25%
22%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
NUE
5 - 0
DEP
21%
26%
54%
|
40 | 63 | 23 | +3 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
HUE
2 - 1
NUE
53%
24%
24%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
NUE
2 - 0
AUR
49%
24%
27%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Dep. Ayutla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
AYU
3 - 1
DEP
23%
26%
52%
|
44 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2013 |
HUE
3 - 1
AYU
45%
26%
30%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -2 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
AYU
5 - 0
AUR
55%
23%
22%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
LAG
2 - 0
AYU
57%
23%
21%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
AYU
2 - 0
SPD
43%
25%
32%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |