Nueva Chicago vs Indep. Rivadavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
27.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Chicago
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2020 |
PLA
0 - 1
CHI
50%
26%
24%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
CHI
1 - 1
TEM
28%
28%
44%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
MOR
0 - 0
CHI
47%
27%
26%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
BAR
2 - 1
CHI
48%
25%
28%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
CHI
1 - 3
AGR
47%
27%
26%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Indep. Rivadavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
IRV
0 - 0
EST
41%
29%
31%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
FER
1 - 0
IRV
48%
27%
25%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2019 |
MIT
0 - 0
IRV
42%
27%
31%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2019 |
IRV
4 - 1
PLA
38%
30%
32%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +2 |
| 18 Nov. 2019 |
TEM
2 - 0
IRV
58%
24%
18%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -1 |