Primera Nacional . Quarter-finals
Global 3-6
Nueva Chicago vs Indep. Rivadavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
31.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Chicago
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2019 |
IRV
4 - 1
CHI
41%
28%
30%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
BRO
2 - 1
CHI
42%
27%
31%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -2 |
| 15 Apr. 2019 |
CHI
1 - 0
SAR
37%
28%
36%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2019 |
QUI
3 - 2
CHI
39%
28%
33%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2019 |
CHI
0 - 1
CCS
46%
24%
30%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Indep. Rivadavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2019 |
IRV
4 - 1
CHI
41%
28%
30%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2019 |
IRV
1 - 0
MID
79%
16%
5%
|
66 | 27 | 39 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2019 |
IRV
1 - 1
RAF
43%
29%
29%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
OLI
2 - 3
IRV
44%
28%
28%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2019 |
IRV
1 - 0
GBR
46%
29%
26%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |