Nueva Chicago vs Alvarado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.1%
14.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Chicago
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
GBR
2 - 0
CHI
43%
27%
30%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2019 |
CHI
0 - 0
MIT
51%
27%
22%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2019 |
CHI
1 - 1
EST
52%
27%
22%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
FER
2 - 1
CHI
41%
27%
32%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
CHI
2 - 2
ATL
49%
26%
25%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Alvarado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
ALV
3 - 2
EST
30%
30%
40%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2019 |
FER
1 - 0
ALV
63%
23%
15%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2019 |
ALV
1 - 2
ATL
28%
27%
45%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2019 |
IRV
3 - 2
ALV
61%
24%
16%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
ALV
2 - 0
PLA
28%
30%
42%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | +1 |