Ñublense vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
36.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ñublense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 3
NUB
59%
22%
19%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2011 |
NUB
0 - 2
CSL
49%
25%
26%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
USF
1 - 2
NUB
54%
24%
21%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
NUB
2 - 0
UCO
27%
26%
47%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | +2 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
DLS
3 - 1
NUB
68%
19%
13%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2011 |
UCO
5 - 4
UCO
55%
23%
23%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
UCO
0 - 1
UCO
43%
25%
32%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
UCO
0 - 0
CSL
56%
24%
20%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2011 |
OHI
3 - 0
UCO
42%
26%
32%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
UCO
0 - 0
PAL
53%
25%
21%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |