Ñublense vs San Marcos Arica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
37.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ñublense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
MAG
2 - 1
NUB
43%
26%
32%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
NUB
1 - 1
SAN
55%
24%
22%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2017 |
CUR
1 - 1
NUB
62%
23%
16%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
NUB
0 - 0
COQ
48%
25%
27%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
CSD
2 - 1
NUB
43%
26%
31%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
San Marcos Arica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
SAN
3 - 0
COB
55%
25%
20%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
DCO
0 - 0
SAN
39%
28%
32%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 4
DLS
55%
25%
21%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2017 |
VAL
0 - 0
SAN
32%
28%
40%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 4
CUR
45%
28%
28%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |