Copa Chile . Quarter-finals
Global 2-2
Ñublense vs Huachipato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
23.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ñublense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
HUA
1 - 0
NUB
38%
26%
36%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
EVE
1 - 1
NUB
35%
30%
35%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
NUB
2 - 0
PAL
45%
26%
29%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
ANT
1 - 0
NUB
35%
29%
37%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
COL
1 - 1
NUB
55%
24%
21%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Huachipato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
HUA
1 - 0
NUB
38%
26%
36%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2022 |
UCO
1 - 0
HUA
63%
22%
16%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
HUA
1 - 1
EVE
41%
28%
31%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
CSL
2 - 0
HUA
46%
26%
28%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
COQ
0 - 0
HUA
31%
25%
45%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |