Novorizontino vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.4%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
34.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novorizontino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
CRB
2 - 1
NOV
51%
27%
22%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2022 |
NOV
2 - 1
OPE
35%
31%
35%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
CRZ
2 - 1
NOV
64%
23%
13%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2022 |
NOV
1 - 0
BRU
32%
28%
39%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
NAU
3 - 1
NOV
51%
25%
24%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 0
VAS
26%
29%
46%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2022 |
SPO
0 - 0
VIL
57%
26%
17%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 2
CSA
33%
32%
35%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 1
BAH
21%
29%
51%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
CRZ
2 - 0
VIL
62%
24%
14%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | -1 |